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The Next Right

With the general election all but underway, I am reminded of presumptive Democrat nominee Barack Obama’s repeated calls for - and vows to deliver - a “new politics.”  Of the “post-partisan” variety.  This implies there is something inherently wrong with self-identifying as a Republican or as a Democrat.  Hmm.  Sounds less “new” than it does “typical” of a rookie on the national stage.  Obama’s words are just the sequel to Uniter, not Divider.

What America does need, is a revitalized political system.  One where the Gen Xers of the world begin to assume additional responsibility - not just in the private sector.  Not just as civil servants - and legislative aides on Capitol Hill.  Not only as senior advisers and senior media strategists.  But, instead - as real political leaders in elected office.

In the press corps, the generational turnover is more obvious.  Gone from the nightly newscasts… Brokaw and Rather.  CNN has fresh Gen X faces - from Anderson Cooper to Ed Henry to Suzanne Malveaux.  MSNBC still relies on Chris Matthews - but David Gregory is right there in Prime Time.  Rachel Maddow quares off against the political equivalent of a Jurassic era T-Rex, Pat Buchanan.  On Fox news, there is scarcely a boomer to be found.  Apart from Brit Hume, Jim Angle and a few panelists… FoxNews gives us Gen X love with Shepard Smith, Greg Kelley, Bill Hemmer, Lis Wiehl, Megyn Kelly, and many others.

To be certain - there are many prominent partisans of the Gen X age.  With names known to insiders only - and acting as sources rather than pundits - it leaves the public with a perception that belies the truth.

Republicans and conservatives are just now embracing Web 2.0, social networking, viral video, tweeting, via their laptops and CrackBerrys.  New Media matters.  Listening to the voices in the field is critical to electoral success.  Politics is no longer a game to be won via micro-targeting alone.  Through Voip and Skype and increasingly digital lives, a few people understand the best of the “old” and “new” politics.

Patrick Ruffini, Soren Dayton, and Jon Henke are emerging as leaders for the next generation of politics.  If you know them, they need no introduction.  If you don’t - learn more by getting on the internet highway, and taking THE NEXT RIGHT.

—Media Lizzy

As commented by fellow blogger Andrew Allison, there was a recent huge swing away from the Labour Party to the Conservatives in Great Britain in the local elections. Whether this is a case of chronic mid-term blues or a real sea-change in the political climate remains to be seen. The most powerful Conservative after the election arguably isn’t David Cameron, leader of the Conservatives in parliament, although the results were a superb shot in the arm for him and his party. No, the current top dog is the Bertie Woosterish figure of Boris Johnson, elected as London Mayor. And many Tories will be holding their breath over the next year in the run up to the General Election hoping that Boris doesn’t make any of his infamous gaffes.

Boris’s background is one of wealth and privilege, similar to most prominent members of the Conservative front bench. He attended the elite public (i.e. private) school Eton and then went on to Oxford. He studied Classics at Balliol, the college of Prime Ministers and First Division Civil Servants. He was a brilliantly funny debater as President of the Oxford Union there but he was also a member of the notorious all male Bullingdon drinking club, open to the scions of the very wealthy. The club members would be fitted out in Oxford in an elaborately decorative (or ridiculously foppish, depending on your point of view) costume of coat and tails. The club would, meet, eat, binge drink and ceremonially trash local eateries. David Cameron was also a member of this club. But Boris always won people over with his bumbling, self-deprecating sense of humour.

His talents lay in journalism he was quickly working on the nationals, writing for the Daily Telegraph in Brussels. Trouble tends to follow Boris around he was quickly implicated in the affairs of Darius Guppy, a soon to be convicted and imprisoned fraudster. Guppy and Johnson were old Eton and Oxford friends – and the former rang the latter to seek his advice on how to beat up a tabloid journalist investigating his (Guppy’s) affairs.

Johnson moved on to become Editor of the entertainingly right-wing Spectator Magazine in 1999. While courteous and witty to people in person, some of the articles he ran appear to have overstepped the mark. Johnson became a Tory MP in 2001 but continued to edit his publication. As an Editor, he had to apologise to the whole city of Liverpool whom he said wallowed in their grief.

And gaffes are part of Boris’ strengths and weakness such as:

“Voting Tory will cause your wife to have bigger breasts and increase your chances of owning a BMW M3″ - on the campaign trail in 2004

“I have not had an affair with Petronella. It is complete balderdash. It is an inverted pyramid of piffle’on whether he slept with his journalistic colleague Petronella Wyatt – which he had.

Boris really made a name for himself on the BBC Satirical News Show Have I Got News for You. The format of the show requires the presenter to either hold back on their personality or flaunt it for everybody – Boris always went for the shambolic, messy, endearing, image, And this made him a huge hit with the viewers – more would tune in if they heard Boris was the presenter in the hope of hearing use his peculiarly aristocratic English accent and argot for the 1950s. And it made him a star.

So how do you manage a philandering, funny, outrageous (referring to commonwealth flag-waving children as ‘piccaninnies’) and who’s never managed a budget bigger than a small political magazine? Well, you keep him under very tight wraps for the duration of the campaign, have the Australian political consultant Lynton Crosby act as his chaperone and try to make the campaign gaffe-free.

And it worked. The Labour incumbent, Ken Livingstone, had done much good for London but was vulnerable to charges of croyneyism. Johnson was able to campaign as the affable new broom. And he won by over one million votes. In the most exciting, cosmopolitan city in the World.

Well done to Boris - now the waiting for gaffes begins…

And now, I am going to bed. As of right now… she has a 22,000 vote lead with 99% of precincts reporting.

FoxNews, CNN are also calling it for Clinton.

—Media Lizzy

The Lake County, Indiana folk apparently feel the need to prolong the counting and keep everyone up all night. Amazes me that election officials actually pretend to be surprised when there is high voter turnout.

Electing a president is a pretty big deal. Duh.

Clinton’s lead is evaporating as the late Lake County vote totals are reported. Either Obama will overtake her and essentially end the primary race , or Hillary will cling to the narrowest victory possible. No matter what - the Democratic primary is closing out and we are fast approaching the general election.

The Clinton campaign has canceled her morning television appearances, according to my sources.

For the first time this season, Terry McAuliffe’s political weathervane act was a failure. The Clinton family and campaign team have some very tough decisions to make. A graceful end to this race will likely include Obama agreeing to orchestrate a creative way to retire the Clinton Campaign’s considerable debt. (Ah, the irony - Mark Penn’s bills being paid off in such a way) Private discussions between Obama, Hillary and their respective campaign counsel are sure to be underway in the coming days.

Woohoo, it’s almost game time for Obama and Mccain. Finally! Join me at 3Pm Eastern on Heading Right Radio - my guest is Brad Marston of McCain Now, and I expect a special appearance from the Mad Irishman - Sheridan Folger!!!

—Media Lizzy

CBS News has called Indiana for Hillary Clinton… but Fox News, MSNBC, and CNN have not - it is too close to call. Lake County, Indiana - an Obama stronghold - has yet to report a single vote.

Hillary will fight on. Obama’s attempt to refocus and look to the General Election thwarted, it is more of the same. More Democratic division. McCain looking more presidential than ever.

Despite a few half-hearted conciliatory notes, Hillary Clinton is not backing down. And the chants of “Count the Votes” ring on, and on, and on.

Woohoo. Time for a big glass of McCain-flavored Kool-Aid.

—Media Lizzy

Ballots are arriving in Oregon voters’ mailboxes today. Technically, the primary is May 20th - but, in reality - it’s primary day every day until then. Every win, every loss, every gaffe, every spousal-slip-o-the-lip, becomes more than fodder for the YouTube crowd - everything is a potential game changer.

Here’s how things shape up, post-Indiana / post-North Carolina:

Obama won North Carolina. Hillary may be poised to win Indiana. The DNC has scheduled a “meeting” for May 31st. She leads in the overall popular vote. Obama leads in Elected Delegates - and in the popular vote if you delete Florida & Michigan.

Barring an unforeseen catastrophe, Obama wins the nomination. Obama has unnecessarily solidified the Democratic relationship with the African-American vote, at the expense of alienating “downscale” voters, Catholics, Jewish folks, and White voters 65 and older. All that, and we haven’t even started with Independents and disaffected Hillary supporters vowing to vote McCain or stay home come November.

Hillary has successfully set herself up to play “I told you so” when Obama loses to McCain.

McCain has many obstacles - but he also has many advantages. Among them, a wealth of respect from independents, Democrats, and Republicans who appreciate his core values and uncompromising integrity - even when political expediency would have served his short-term interests better.

—Media Lizzy

MSNBC & Fox News both report Obama wins by significant margin in North Carolina… due in no small part to his strength with the African American community. Exit polls show him winning them with 91% of the vote - and since African Americans make up about 38% of all registered Democrats.

The margin of victory is very important. Hillary needs a single digit loss. If Hillary still beats Obama 2-to-1 among White voters, it is still a problem for Barack Obama. His strength within the African American community is nothing remarkable come November. Democrats routinely win 90% of that demographic in presidential elections. The Democrats may well solidify their relationship with one demographic at the expense of alienating other, larger demographic groups that feel disenfranchised after the downright ugly primary season.

Tonight is the night… Indiana and North Carolina polls are closing very shortly. The spin will immediately begin. Did Hillary win over any African Americans? Is Obama still losing among White Voters making less than $50,000 per year? Does Hillary have enough steam to defy the Democratic establishment and continue on? What happens at the DNC meeting on May 31st?

Ultimately - the question is this: Did anything happen tonight that solidifies John McCain’s appeal among centrist Democrats, Independents, and disgruntled Clinton/Obama supporters?

Check back here just after the polls close, I will be posting Exit Polling Data!

MSNBC EXIT POLLS (click for full coverage - great stuff)

—Media Lizzy

At Stake in Indiana: 72 Delegates

At Stake in North Carolina: 115 Delegates

MSNBC Exits

Was Rev. Wright Controversy a Factor?

Yes 48% No 48%

Fox News Exits - Indiana

54% say Clinton is honest

62% Clinton Shares values

65% Whites w/o college voted for Clinton

58% White Men voted for Clinton

71% of Seniors voted for Clinton

66% say Obama is honest

65% say Obama shares values

Fox News Exits - North Carolina

91% of African Americans voted for Obama (making up 38% of registered Dems)

47% say Clinton is honest

60% Clinton shares values

69% Obama shares values

67% Whites w/o college voted for Clinton

McCain NowGreetings folks…. just a quick love note! On Wednesday’s show, I will be interviewing Brad Marston of McCain Now. Let’s put 2008 in focus - analyzing how Grasstops work with the Grassroots towards electoral success. For additional details, check out the show all week at 3PM Eastern / Noon Pacific on BlogTalkRadio’s new 24/7 streaming channel: Heading Right Radio.

—Media Lizzy

In 1998, the several states which comprise our grand experiment in representative democracy found themselves on the receiving end of a windfall!! After years of abuse and under threat of continued litigation financed from the state’s deep pockets, the tobacco industry made peace with its enemies.

It was an easy choice considering the alternative was to be destroyed by government. Consider that in 1964 Big Tobacco was required by government to put warning labels on its product telling people cigarettes would be bad for them if they chose to smoke. Next, it was forbidden by government from advertising its legal product on TV. The last TV ad for cigarettes appeared on The Tonight Show on 1/1/71 Later still, it was forbidden to even market tobacco in and to certain segments of the population. Joe Camel and Winston’s 31 year history with NASCAR both withered and died. Government is still gunning for the tobacco Industry. Just in the last year, government has outlawed smoking in public places such as restaurants and stores here in Tennessee and elsewhere.

However, the unquestionable high point of government’s offensive against Big Tobacco arrived November 23, 1998. The end results of Big Tobacco’s product in the lives of willing and informed consumers was deemed so detrimental to the well being of the states that the industry itself was held accountable for the havoc their product wrought. Big tobacco was required to pay almost $250 billion to the states over 25 years in a settlement

…intended to cover past Medicaid costs from smoking-related illnesses in exchange for immunity for the tobacco companies from further state- sponsored lawsuits.

Such rulings are a perversion of justice. But they are typical of big government’s abuse of power. In this case, state government - with Tennessee ranked among the worst in the matter. On the one hand, we just passed a law which outlawed smoking in most public places. On the other hand, we also just tripled the cigarette tax to fund Education! Thus we’re funding a program for which the state continually wants more money with a revenue stream the state is trying to destroy. But we can trust the government on this. Just look at what a great job they’re doing.

Well, let’s consider the Tobacco Settlement funds, shall we? As noted, the money was intended to help states cover costs they incurred while dealing with health problems associated with tobacco use. But that’s not happening. Not in Tennessee and not anywhere else that I can find either.

According to The Tennessean, Tennessee is slighting lung cancer. In fact,

The $1.4 billion in tobacco settlement money that Tennessee has received since 2000 has gone into the general fund, paying for everything from state troopers’ salaries to computers in schools.

None of that money has been earmarked for lung cancer research.

A billion and a half dollars extorted from tobacco companies under threat of being sued into non-existence by the states. The states claim they are acting in the best interests of the people. Big Tobacco agrees to pay billions to offset the costs of past smoking and to fund state prevention programs. What do the states do? They do what unaccountable, irresponsible and out of control government always does - whatever they think they can get away with. Tennessee receives millions annually for state health concerns and spends nothing on it. Our neighbor to the north, Kentucky, is lauded for spending $35 million on lung cancer research since 2001. $5 million a year when they get well over $100 million. And Kentucky may be one of the good guys!

Quoting from The Tennessean again,

Because there are no restrictions on how states spend tobacco settlements, money that other states receive also often goes toward just about everything but research, said Laurie Fenton Ambrose, president and chief executive officer of the Lung Cancer Alliance, a D.C.-based advocacy group.

“We are astounded that this could be so overlooked, and are actively advocating for those resources to assist victims of this disease,” Ambrose said.

One would think that the states, which knew enough a decade ago to be concerned about the emerging health crisis they faced from smoking that they piled on on Big Tobacco, would also be smart enough to use this “found money” to address the issue directly. But we’re dealing with government here. The Tennessean adds:

For a state in which roughly one in four adults smokes, Tennessee has been notoriously bad about funding tobacco prevention programs.

But Danny McGoldrick, Tobacco Free Kids’ vice president for research, said that this year he applauds Tennessee for being “most improved.”

Tennessee put $10 million of budget money toward tobacco prevention for the first time ever this fiscal year.The money funded programs such as the smoking cessation hot line, 1-800-QUIT-NOW, and nicotine replacement therapies for the uninsured.

McGoldrick also lauded the state’s new tax increase on cigarettes and the smoking ban in most public places.

“Last year was a big improvement, after years of doing virtually nothing,” McGoldrick said.

Previously, Tobacco Free Kids ranked Tennessee 51st, among all states and the District of Columbia, for its tobacco-prevention efforts. But the new initiatives bumped Tennessee up to 34th this year.

Tobacco Free Kids will present Gov. Phil Bredesen with its “champion award” in a few weeks for leading the efforts.

This is success? This is government for the people? No. This is typical government fraud, waste and abuse. Citizens out to be nauseated. But we accept calling it “improvement”. We spend $10 million of our $1.5 billion on a stop smoking program and our Governor gets a “Champion” award. Meanwhile, the other 49 states’ efforts are so equally pathetic our non efforts move us up 17 places in ranking and earn us the title “most improved”. Only to government bureaucrats is this success. Each Tennessean should call his representatives and demand fiscal responsibility in this matter.

This year alone, Tennessee is due to receive almost $160 million from Big Tobacco. By the time the 25 year payout period is up, we are due to receive almost $5 billion dollars. It is supposed to be to protect our health. It is supposed to be to help educate us. It is supposed to help us stop smoking. If we, the citizens of Tennessee, permit this fraud, waste and abuse to continue then I have to ask how healthy our priorities really are; what we are really learning from what they are teaching, and; what in the world are we really smoking in the Volunteer State?

Blue Collar Muse

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