Ballots are arriving in Oregon voters’ mailboxes today. Technically, the primary is May 20th – but, in reality – it’s primary day every day until then. Every win, every loss, every gaffe, every spousal-slip-o-the-lip, becomes more than fodder for the YouTube crowd – everything is a potential game changer.
Here’s how things shape up, post-Indiana / post-North Carolina:
Obama won North Carolina. Hillary may be poised to win Indiana. The DNC has scheduled a “meeting” for May 31st. She leads in the overall popular vote. Obama leads in Elected Delegates – and in the popular vote if you delete Florida & Michigan.
Barring an unforeseen catastrophe, Obama wins the nomination. Obama has unnecessarily solidified the Democratic relationship with the African-American vote, at the expense of alienating “downscale” voters, Catholics, Jewish folks, and White voters 65 and older. All that, and we haven’t even started with Independents and disaffected Hillary supporters vowing to vote McCain or stay home come November.
Hillary has successfully set herself up to play “I told you so” when Obama loses to McCain.
McCain has many obstacles – but he also has many advantages. Among them, a wealth of respect from independents, Democrats, and Republicans who appreciate his core values and uncompromising integrity – even when political expediency would have served his short-term interests better.
—Media Lizzy
With all due respect, Lizzy. You’re head is so far up your echo chamber that you are blind to the damage that Bush has inflicted on your party. Bush fails to step aside and play his role as lame duck, he continues to push unpopular initiatives in an election year, which forces McCain to distance himself from the sitting president and leader of your party.
You’re as deluded as Hillary is, but you are easy on the eyes.
Oops..caught a typo in my comment. “Your” not “You’re”
Hi Eric…
Echo chamber? Not hardly, I am just abundantly aware that W is not on the ballot. Senator McCain isn’t George W. Bush, he is not more of “McSame.”
I have been an outspoken critic, particularly when it comes to SecState Condi Rice and former SecDef Rumsfeld, of President Bush and his policies. I love my President but I’ve been off the Kool-Aid for awhile. (my new flavor-flav is McCain)
Looking at 2004 – W easily won re-election with a 3 million vote lead in the popular vote. In 2006, Republicans lost their majorities because of corruption – not because of W. Not because of Iraq.
The only Republican with any real distance from the DeLay/Abramoff/Hastert/Foley/Cunningham scandals is Senator McCain.
No earmarks. Anti-corruption. He has won the respect of his fellow Republicans – but almost more importantly – from Democrats and Independents. He has a widespread centrist appeal. McCain is, and has always been, his own man.
Anyone who seriously believes that Senator John S. McCain will play number two to W, or any one, doesn’t know much about John McCain. He has withstood much tougher pressure and proven himself to be an iconic leader who embodies the best of America.
[...] is she simply laying the groundwork for a 2012 “I told you so” argument? Barring an unforeseen catastrophe, Obama wins the nomination. Obama has unnecessarily [...]
Centrist??? That’s pretty funny. Tell that to the relatives of all the American soldiers that will die if McCain keeps this irresponsible $12 billion a month war in Iraq going for four or eight more years. Tell that also to the women that may lose their right to choose if McCain gets to pick the next 2-3 Supreme Court justices. And tell that to all the American families who can barely pay their bills while McCain offers no solutions on health care or even tax relief for low income Americans, and insists instead on extending the tax cuts for the very wealthy.
No, there is nothing centrist about John McCain.
“core values and uncompromising integrity”
Yea, I’m, sure his profanity laced temper tantrums, his volunteering to bomb villages in vietnam, his adulterous affairs, etc.. constitute core Christian values and integrity. UNBELIEVABLE!
Are you casting the first stone?