Over at my place I predicted Giuliani would pull-out after Super Tuesday. Well, I got the timing wrong, but I knew he would have to put his weight behind another candidate. The question was just the timing. I think there are two reasons for his poor showing in Florida.

Firstly, by not running in the early primaries he lost momentum. Secondly, he gave the impression that the Republicans in the smaller states did not matter. Perhaps Republicans in Florida didn’t like that?

His strategy was flawed from the start. If you want to win, you have to do the hard yards at the beginning of the race, not hope a larger state will be your chance to formally enter the race with a bang.