Apparently, Speaker Pelosi is not managing the Democratic brand to well. In the latest Rasmussen report, Dems only pull 36% of voters into their camp. But that’s not the real news. Folks are all a-Twitter about the “Tea Party” outpolling the GOP. Some are aghast. Others emboldened. Me? Read on… we’ll get there.
In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided.
More interestingly to me, also from Rasmussen:
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP.
Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.
Just to be clear, Rasmussen asked respondents to assume the ‘Tea Party’ had organized as an official political party. They state it thus:
For this survey, the respondents were asked to assume that the Tea Party movement organized as a new political party. In practical terms, it is unlikely that a true third-party option would perform as well as the polling data indicates. The rules of the election process—written by Republicans and Democrats–provide substantial advantages for the two established major parties. The more conventional route in the United States is for a potential third-party force to overtake one of the existing parties.
My take is pretty simple. The Tea Party isn’t likely to organize in all 50 states in time for the 2010 primaries, which pretty much rules them off the General Election ballot next November. So…. unhappy with the GOP or not, that’s going to be the viable option against Speaker Pelosi, Majority Leader Reid, and their radical leftist agenda.
Let’s look at those numbers again. Among all voters, the GOP + Tea Party crowd garners 41%. Among voters who did not declare a political party preference the numbers are even better for folks on the right side of the aisle. A full 45% prefer the GOP + Tea Party option, with Democrats polling only at 25%.
So, all this false hype about the GOP being in disarray is ridiculous. In 2010, the Tea Party folks will do business with the establishment of the Republican Party. The establishment would be wise to return the favor.
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